Tuesday, 19 August 2014

Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategies

After reading my introduction to playing daily fantasy baseball, I’d like to discuss some tips and strategies to push the odds in your favor.

What to look for:
Bad starters – Obviously a hitter going against a bad starter, is a better start than when he’s going against Kershaw. Look for good hitters facing bad pitchers.
Lefty/Righty Splits – Looks for hitters who hit left handers or right handers particularly well. For example, Troy Tulowitzki tends to crush lefties. He’s a good start against a left hander, even better against a bad left hander. Look for teams who typically have platoons or lefty and righty specialist. There are a lot of these guys out there, who if played in the right situation, can increase your odds.
Play the Ballpark – It goes without saying that ballparks like Coors and the Ballpark at Arlington are much better hitting environments. See who is playing in those ballparks every night.   Look beyond the home team. Visitors to good ballparks often have well price players. Marlins hitters going from their stadium to Coors is a huge boost in park factor.
Play Hot Streaks – A player hitting well is a player hitting well. You only have to own him for a day, not a year. Even if you think he’s playing way over his head, ride the streak. This is one of the benefits I like best about daily baseball. You can ride a guy like JD Martinez when he’s hot and not have to worry about owning him when he’s hitting .200.
Don’t play batter vs pitcher – This is going to be controversial advice. A lot of sites will point to batter vs pitcher results as the number one place to start. I will tell you that batter vs pitcher stats are far too small of sample sizes to have any correlation to true results. Anything can happen in 20-30 at bats. Past performance in these small sample sizes has no statistical correlation to future success. Let your competition play batter vs pitcher stats and push your odds up even greater.
Follow on Twitter – I have a post every day on a handful of cheaper starts for that day’s game.
Play a lot -  The best way to make the odds work in your favor is to play a lot. Play a few games every night to lessen the risk of a bad night. The more you play, the more your true talent will come through.

Chris Dionne is an avid fantasy baseball player and writer at Back Of The Baseball Card. Visit the site for fantasy baseball news, opinions, and recommendations for daily fantasy baseball.
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https://twitter.com/chris_dionne47

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